It's hard to predict the future of the market.
Current trends show that the 'experiential' food appetite will increase as the market is set to show everyone the number of people who are attracted to it (compared to 10 years ago).
Where do apples and pears live in this picture?
"Farmland tourism" is becoming more and more popular every day in America where there are people who enjoy tractor journeys and farm animals as well as those who are interested in fruit gardens for their own fruit gathering. As cities continue to grow, these trends will likely come together with the demands driven by the desire to experience the path and experience of producing their own food.
The favorable, ethical, perfect, consistent fruit demand with low chemical practices in the cities will probably continue (and ironically, the farm will continue to be disconnected from the fruits of fruit production after the rise of tourism).
Especially in the next decade, the declining state of funds of research institutions worldwide will continue to enter the market with new apples and pear varieties (partly crowded) when the 'commercialization or destruction' ultimatum challenges most of the world's apple and pear breeding programs. Only the best marketed varieties are likely to survive.
China and India's apple and pear production will become known in the global market over the next 20 years and the need to be productive in all areas of the supply chain will increase.
Rise of the Verification
Data storage has been cheaper in recent years. In the mid-1980s, a gigabyte of hard drive space cost 25 times more than a new car on average. Today one gigabyte of hard drive space will cost you only a few liras.
Only one of the developments in this technology is; transfer speed, access (including the internet), and physical dimensions. Although there are some indications that data storage capacities are slowing down in development, speed and accessibility (internativity connectivity) continues to progress and grow at incredible rates.
In short, 30 years is a long time interval for the development of technology. Improved data collection, management and real-time processing capacity mean one thing.
Management and data collection will be moved from the block to the tree level.
This statement may come to you unreasonably. In most gardens trees and branches are already managed as separate units on a daily basis. At the moment these tasks are done by you and your staff in real time based on tree similarities and your experience in determining the end result. All distances, dimensions, shapes, colors, and other scenarios are considered when working on a single tree, but really each human error and skill difference causes inconsistencies and deviations from the original plan.
It is possible that data processing and capture developments will be stored at this level to capture data and see the transaction in real time to the decision support systems (to teach the employee how much to dilute and what to shred), and to improve the level of decision making in similar scenarios that can occur simultaneously in the future. Not in 20-30 years; these technologies will likely become common in the next decade. Technology is already available, and a strong vision is needed to find out how to apply this technology and to properly commercialize its use.
Impossible Expected Technologies
Computer vision is the way in which a computer is programmed or taught how to identify size, color, shape, or other characteristics to provide the current measurements of objects with that computer.
Research the Australian Land Robotics Center on the Internet to investigate the potential applications of LIDAR (remote sensing using LIDAR - a method of remote sensing using laser pulses to measure light distances) (many products as well as apples).
This technology can be further exploited by taking advantage of the cameras (multispectral and thermal imaging) to see which dimensions of plant health can be calculated to describe the state of the tree in terms of pest / disease, irrigation schedule or viability.
Removing the map of soil variability to apply nutrients and water, depending on soil and plant requirements, is already common in most broadacre operations that apply different irrigation ratios of circular moving irrigators to different areas of land according to soil types and topographies.
Research on the internet to learn more about variable rate irrigation and variable rate application.
Tractors with all your garden mowing and spraying capacity are already available and may even send you a message to refill the fuel tank if necessary. For example, you can search Probotiq Fendt X-pert videos online.
It is already possible to harvest apples autonomously by color and size. Similar repetitive tasks are possible for automation. To see this technology on the move, you can search the internet for examples of Abundant Robotics robotic apple harvester.
The current situation in the development of data analysis and technology has allowed the above to turn into reality; even if they are not yet commercially viable. Cost, concept proofing, and logistical challenges are the current barriers to system adaptation of these technologies, but over time these obstacles will be reduced and the benefits to be gained will be better understood.
These technologies help increase the efficiency of the operation and / or address current problems in the market. Addressing variables, workforce and logistical challenges (what to do and when to do) are the main factors that will greatly improve the productivity of a fruit garden.
Preparing for Technological Use
There are a number of steps you can take to implement these technologies in your fruit garden and business in the future.
Start collecting and recording the following data:
Air (especially if you are close to the nearest meteorological office weather station)
Full flowering dates
Development of fruit size
Soil nutrient value
Fertilizer applications (what was put on, how and when?)
Irrigation (how much time and when?)
Spray applications - especially for all types of chemical dilution (proportions, conditions, products)
Tree variability (X may be as simple as the fuji block is 30% less than in 2017-18)
Evaluate how technology can be applied to new plantings in a fruit garden:
High light retention
Good light distribution
Frequent sewing density compared to others
Simple shades (make use of new technologies)
The common theme for the above is efficiency; Maximize your output for your entries.
"Effective" thinking must go beyond the tree and planting system; how far to harvest, how far to go to replenish the chests, what facilities will workers or future machines need? Will future regulatory requirements be regulated?
Industry in general
Technology and tree architecture will be the main driving forces for productivity in the future of fruit gardens. Another reality is that garden size and shorter supply chains can make big gains in these categories.
Much of the fruit production will be provided by large players with large, simple and efficient fruit garden operations and supply chains. Smaller fruit gardens are likely to be species-specific, with perhaps a whole bunch of species that are best suited to growing areas within maturity spots to spread high demand for labor during the season.
Larger blocks with smaller management practices are likely to be the norm.
Smaller farmers who think they do not comply with these systems may need to seriously consider the possibility of being "professional farmers" feeding 'larger supplier systems' or finding a very specific niche market like the previously mentioned farming tourism sector in order to maintain competition.
Looking Back and Forward
It would have been ridiculous both economically and technologically to say that some farmers (who still manage their own fruit gardens) had more than doubled yield per decare and higher rates under permanent cages.
The feasibility of ideas and technologies is rapidly changing, and the expectation of the new data revolution to come into being and the possibility of turning concepts into impossible realities is quickly approaching.
The majority of the fruit garden blocks planted today are fruit gardens of the future. In order to ensure their longevity, it is necessary to make a plan that is not affected by dirigible, future changes to the challenges of the future.
Do not be afraid to think that if you plant a new block or varieties, you will not be affected by future changes.
Consider the climate.
What are climate estimates for the region?
Do I need a sprinkler?
Are current and future varieties compatible with this system?
Is my system efficient?
Do you have enough juice for what I want to do?
Can I write it?
Will he be defeated in time?
Do you have an exit strategy?
Is the new design efficient?
And finally, if you are big and brave for new plantings, your scale economy will increase your productivity.